Harmony Gold Mining is a major, with an FD market cap of $11 billion. They are a 1.5 million oz producer. Their problem is that all of its producing mines are in South Africa, which could limit their FCF multiple. They have large resources, with 11 producing mines. Free cash flow is about $2.5 billion at $4700 gold. They have about $450 million in cash and $750 million in debt. They have an AISC of around $2000 per oz.
Because of the risk of political nationalization, their FCF multiple is around 5, which is low for their size. Investors are hesitant to invest in South Africa. However, if they do not nationalize their mines, Harmony could become a cash flow machine at higher gold prices.
As an income stock, it looks interesting, although risky. They plan to pay 20% of their free cash flow as dividends. The yield is currently around 4.5%. $2.5B FCF x 20% = $500M / $11B = 4.5%.
Ironically, even with their large resources, production is scheduled to drop in 2027. Here is their current forecast:
2026: 1.5M oz
2027: 1.4M oz
2028: 1.4M oz
2029: 1.3M oz
2030: 1.2M oz
2031: 1.2M oz
2032: 1.5M oz
DD
General Details
Financial
04/24/2026 Last Analysis Data
Current Data
Change
Item
Value
Value
Updated
Value
MCap (FD):
$10,910.76M
$10,878.21M
04/24/2026
$-32.55M
MCap (OS):
$10,743.16M
$10,711.11M
04/24/2026
$-32.05M
Total Assets:
$6,900.00M
$6,900.00M
04/24/2026
$0.00M
Total Liabilities:
$3,770.00M
$3,770.00M
04/24/2026
$0.00M
Current Assets:
$984.00M
$984.00M
04/24/2026
$0.00M
Current Liabilities:
$1,800.00M
$1,800.00M
04/24/2026
$0.00M
Total Debt:
$780.00M
$780.00M
04/24/2026
$0.00M
Cash:
$455.00M
$455.00M
04/24/2026
$0.00M
Debt (Net):
$325.00M
$325.00M
$0.00M
Enterprise Value:
$11,235.76M
$11,203.21M
$-32.55M
Cash Flow:
$2,414.78M
$1,574.27M
never
$-840.51M
Cash Flow Multiple:
4.52
6.91
never
2.39
Net Debt to Cash Flow Ratio:
0.13
0.21
never
0.07
Finance within 1 year:
04/24/2026
n/a
Misc
04/24/2026 Last Analysis Data
Current Data
Change
Item
Value
Value
Updated
Value
Shares Outstanding:
641,000,000
641,000,000
04/24/2026
0
Shares (FD):
651,000,000
651,000,000
04/24/2026
0
Insider Ownership:
n/a
n/a
04/24/2026
n/a
Dividend (Annual):
3.7%
3.71%
04/24/2026
0.01
Company Type:
Mostly Gold
Mostly Gold
never
n/a
Group:
Producer
Producer
never
n/a
Production ETA:
n/a
n/a
04/24/2026
n/a
Production (Gold Eq Oz.):
(guess) 1,500,000
(guess) 1,500,000
04/24/2026
0
Production (Silver Eq Oz.):
(guess) 93,227,435
(guess) 105,711,022
04/24/2026
12,483,588
Development Phase:
Producer (Multiple Mines)
Producer (Multiple Mines)
04/24/2026
n/a
Optionality Play:
none
No
F U T U R E
% of Spot:
15
Producer: Average
15
Producer: Average
04/24/2026
0
Cash Flow Multiple:
10
10
04/24/2026
0.00
Resource Data
GOLD
04/24/2026 Last Analysis Data
Current Data
Change
Item
Value
Value
Updated
Value
O U N C E S
T O T A L
Proven & Probable:
40.00M
40.00M
04/24/2026
0.00M
Measured & Indicated:
100.00M
100.00M
04/24/2026
0.00M
Inferred:
40.00M
40.00M
04/24/2026
0.00M
Reserves & Resources:
140.00M
140.00M
never
0.00M
P L A U S I B L E
Proven & Probable:
34.00M
34.00M
04/24/2026
0.00M
Measured & Indicated:
74.80M
74.80M
04/24/2026
0.00M
Inferred:
17.00M
17.00M
04/24/2026
0.00M
Reserves & Resources:
91.80M
91.80M
never
0.00M
C U R R E N T
Annual Production:
(guess) 1,500,000oz.
(guess) 1,500,000oz.
04/24/2026
0oz.
Cash Cost:
$2,100
$2,100
04/24/2026
$0.00
Extra Operating Cost:
$1,000
$1,000
04/24/2026
$0.00
Total:
$3,100
$3,100
04/24/2026
$0.00
Margin (Free Cash Flow):
$1,610 (34%)
$1,050 (25%)
$-560.34
MCap / Production (AuEq):
$7,273.84
$7,252.14
$-21.70
EV / Production (AuEq):
$7,490.51
$7,468.81
$-21.70
G R A D E
Underground (Avg):
5.00 g/t
5.00 g/t
04/24/2026
n/a
Open Pit (Avg):
n/a
1.00 g/t
04/24/2026
n/a
Recovery Rate:
(CG) 85.00%
(CG) 85.00%
04/24/2026
0.00%
F U T U R E
Proven & Probable:
50.00M
50.00M
04/24/2026
0.00M
Annual Production:
1,500,000oz.
1,500,000oz.
04/24/2026
0oz.
Cash Cost:
$2,200
$2,200
04/24/2026
$0
Extra Operating Cost:
$1,000
$1,000
04/24/2026
$0
SILVER
04/24/2026 Last Analysis Data
Current Data
Change
Item
Value
Value
Updated
Value
O U N C E S
T O T A L
Proven & Probable:
n/a
n/a
04/24/2026
0.00M
Measured & Indicated:
n/a
n/a
04/24/2026
0.00M
Inferred:
n/a
n/a
04/24/2026
0.00M
Reserves & Resources:
n/a
n/a
never
0.00M
P L A U S I B L E
Proven & Probable:
n/a
n/a
04/24/2026
0.00M
Measured & Indicated:
n/a
n/a
04/24/2026
0.00M
Inferred:
n/a
n/a
04/24/2026
0.00M
Reserves & Resources:
n/a
n/a
never
0.00M
C U R R E N T
Annual Production:
n/a
n/a
0oz.
Cash Cost:
n/a
n/a
04/24/2026
$0.00
Extra Operating Cost:
n/a
n/a
04/24/2026
$0.00
Total:
n/a
n/a
04/24/2026
$0.00
Margin (Free Cash Flow):
n/a
$0.00
MCap / Production (AgEq):
$117.03
$102.91
$-14.13
EV / Production (AgEq):
$120.52
$105.98
$-14.54
G R A D E
Underground (Avg):
n/a
n/a
04/24/2026
n/a
Open Pit (Avg):
n/a
n/a
04/24/2026
n/a
Recovery Rate:
n/a
n/a
04/24/2026
0.00%
F U T U R E
Proven & Probable:
n/a
n/a
04/24/2026
0.00M
Annual Production:
n/a
n/a
04/24/2026
n/a
Cash Cost:
n/a
n/a
04/24/2026
n/a
Extra Operating Cost:
n/a
n/a
04/24/2026
n/a
Property
Last Analysis Data (04/24/2026)
Stage
Name
Owned %
Type
NPV $M
IRR %
CapEx $M
Au
Ag
Cu
Dev
Eva
Australia
100
n/a
Prod
Hidden Valley
Morobe Province
50
Open Pit
Dev
Golpu
50
n/a
Exp
Wafi
50
n/a
Prod
Doornkop
Johannesburg
100
n/a
Prod
Joel
Free State
100
n/a
Prod
Kalgold
Mafikeng
100
n/a
Prod
Kusasalethu
Johannesburg
100
n/a
Prod
Masimong
Free State
100
n/a
Prod
Target
Free State
100
n/a
Dev
Tshepong
Free State
100
n/a
Current Data
Stage
Name
Owned %
Type
NPV $M
IRR %
CapEx $M
Au
Ag
Cu
Dev
Eva
Australia
100
n/a
Prod
Hidden Valley
Morobe Province
50
Open Pit
Dev
Golpu
50
n/a
Exp
Wafi
50
n/a
Prod
Doornkop
Johannesburg
100
n/a
Prod
Joel
Free State
100
n/a
Prod
Kalgold
Mafikeng
100
n/a
Prod
Kusasalethu
Johannesburg
100
n/a
Prod
Masimong
Free State
100
n/a
Prod
Target
Free State
100
n/a
Dev
Tshepong
Free State
100
n/a
Profitability (by resource)
Proven & Probable
04/24/2026 Last Analysis Data
Current Data
Change
Item
Value
Value
Updated
Value
Percentage Gold:
100.00%
100.00%
n/a
0.00%
Percentage Silver:
n/a
n/a
n/a
0.00%
Total (Gold Eq. Oz.):
40.00M
40.00M
n/a
0.00M
Total (Silver Eq. Oz.):
n/a
n/a
n/a
332.90M
P
L
A
U
S
I
B
L
E
Gold Eq. Oz.:
34.00M
34.00M
n/a
0.00M
Silver Eq. Oz.:
n/a
n/a
n/a
282.96M
Maximum Profit (Gold):
$54,734.90M
$35,683.34M
n/a
$-19,051.56M
Maximum Profit (Silver):
n/a
n/a
n/a
$0.00M
Total Maximum Profit:
$54,734.90M
$35,683.34M
n/a
$-19,051.56M
Max Profit / Current MCap:
5.017
3.280
n/a
-1.736
Max Profit Per Share (Gold):
$84.08
$54.81
n/a
$-29.27
Max Profit Per Share (Silver):
n/a
n/a
n/a
$0.00
Total Max Profit Per Share:
$84.08
$54.81
n/a
$-29.27
Total Free Profit Per Share:
$67.32
$38.10
n/a
$-29.22
FD MCap / Gold Eq.:
$320.90
$319.95
n/a
$-0.96
FD MCap / Silver Eq.:
$5.16
$4.54
n/a
$-0.62
FD MCap / Per Metal as % Spot Price:
6.81%
7.71%
n/a
0.90%
EV / Gold Eq.:
$330.46
$329.51
n/a
$-0.96
EV / Silver Eq.:
$5.32
$4.68
n/a
$-0.64
EV / Per Metal as % Spot Price:
7.02%
7.94%
n/a
0.92%
Measured & Indicated
04/24/2026 Last Analysis Data
Current Data
Change
Item
Value
Value
Updated
Value
Percentage Gold:
100.00%
100.00%
n/a
0.00%
Percentage Silver:
n/a
n/a
n/a
0.00%
Total (Gold Eq. Oz.):
100.00M
100.00M
n/a
0.00M
Total (Silver Eq. Oz.):
n/a
n/a
n/a
832.24M
P
L
A
U
S
I
B
L
E
Gold Eq. Oz.:
74.80M
74.80M
n/a
0.00M
Silver Eq. Oz.:
n/a
n/a
n/a
622.51M
Maximum Profit (Gold):
$120,416.78M
$78,503.35M
n/a
$-41,913.43M
Maximum Profit (Silver):
n/a
n/a
n/a
$0.00M
Total Maximum Profit:
$120,416.78M
$78,503.35M
n/a
$-41,913.43M
Max Profit / Current MCap:
11.037
7.217
n/a
-3.820
Max Profit Per Share (Gold):
$184.97
$120.59
n/a
$-64.38
Max Profit Per Share (Silver):
n/a
n/a
n/a
$0.00
Total Max Profit Per Share:
$184.97
$120.59
n/a
$-64.38
Total Free Profit Per Share:
$168.21
$103.88
n/a
$-64.33
FD MCap / Gold Eq.:
$145.87
$145.43
n/a
$-0.44
FD MCap / Silver Eq.:
$2.35
$2.06
n/a
$-0.28
FD MCap / Per Metal as % Spot Price:
3.10%
3.50%
n/a
0.41%
EV / Gold Eq.:
$150.21
$149.78
n/a
$-0.44
EV / Silver Eq.:
$2.42
$2.13
n/a
$-0.29
EV / Per Metal as % Spot Price:
3.19%
3.61%
n/a
0.42%
Reserves & Resources
04/24/2026 Last Analysis Data
Current Data
Change
Item
Value
Value
Updated
Value
Percentage Gold:
100.00%
100.00%
n/a
0.00%
Percentage Silver:
n/a
n/a
n/a
0.00%
Total (Gold Eq. Oz.):
140.00M
140.00M
n/a
0.00M
Total (Silver Eq. Oz.):
n/a
n/a
n/a
1,165.13M
P
L
A
U
S
I
B
L
E
Gold Eq. Oz.:
91.80M
91.80M
n/a
0.00M
Silver Eq. Oz.:
n/a
n/a
n/a
764.00M
Maximum Profit (Gold):
$147,784.23M
$96,345.02M
n/a
$-51,439.21M
Maximum Profit (Silver):
n/a
n/a
n/a
$0.00M
Total Maximum Profit:
$147,784.23M
$96,345.02M
n/a
$-51,439.21M
Max Profit / Current MCap:
13.545
8.857
n/a
-4.688
Max Profit Per Share (Gold):
$227.01
$148.00
n/a
$-79.02
Max Profit Per Share (Silver):
n/a
n/a
n/a
$0.00
Total Max Profit Per Share:
$227.01
$148.00
n/a
$-79.02
Total Free Profit Per Share:
$210.25
$131.29
n/a
$-78.97
FD MCap / Gold Eq.:
$118.85
$118.50
n/a
$-0.35
FD MCap / Silver Eq.:
$1.91
$1.68
n/a
$-0.23
FD MCap / Per Metal as % Spot Price:
2.52%
2.86%
n/a
0.33%
EV / Gold Eq.:
$122.39
$122.04
n/a
$-0.35
EV / Silver Eq.:
$1.97
$1.73
n/a
$-0.24
EV / Per Metal as % Spot Price:
2.60%
2.94%
n/a
0.34%
Future Valuation (Cash Flow & Totals)
Totals
04/24/2026 Last Analysis Data
Current Data
Change
Item
Value
Value
Updated
Value
C U R R E N T
R & R Valuation:
$64,854.63M
$57,138.75M
n/a
$-7,715.88M
FD MCap:
$10,910.76M
$10,878.21M
n/a
$-32.55M
Annual Gold Production:
(guess) 1,500,000oz.
(guess) 1,500,000oz.
04/24/2026
0oz.
Annual Silver Production:
n/a
n/a
0oz.
F
U
T
U
R
E
FD MCap (Resources):
$52,500.00M
$52,500.00M
n/a
$0M
FD MCap Growth (Resources):
381%
383%
n/a
1%
FD MCap (Cash Flow):
$57,000.00M
$57,000M
n/a
0.00M
FD MCap Growth (Cash Flow):
422%
424%
n/a
2%
Estimated Price
USD:
$87.56
$87.56
n/a
$0.00
Ratio FD MCap (Resources : Cash Flow):
0.92
0.92
n/a
0.00
Annual Production
Gold:
1,500,000 oz.
1,500,000 oz.
n/a
0 oz.
Silver:
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Current FD MCap /
Gold Eq. Reserves:
218.22
217.56
n/a
-0.65
Silver Eq. Reserves:
6.23
6.22
n/a
-0.02
Gold Eq. Production:
7,273.84
7,252.14
n/a
-21.70
Silver Eq. Production:
207.82
207.20
n/a
-0.62
P&P Reserves (oz.)
Gold:
50.00M
50.00M
04/24/2026
n/a
Silver:
n/a
n/a
04/24/2026
n/a
Gold Eq.:
50.00M
50.00M
04/24/2026
n/a
Silver Eq.:
1,750.00M
1,750.00M
04/24/2026
n/a
P&P Reserves per FD Share (oz.)
Gold:
0.077
0.077
n/a
n/a
Silver:
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Gold Eq.:
0.077
0.077
n/a
n/a
Silver Eq.:
2.688
2.688
n/a
n/a
Free Cash Flow
04/24/2026 Last Analysis Data
Current Data
Change
Item
Value
Value
Updated
Value
Current:
$2,414.78M
$1,574.27M
n/a
$-840.51M
Current Multiple:
4.52
6.91
n/a
2.39
Current FCF/MCap Ratio:
22.13%
14.47%
n/a
-7.66%
Current FCF/Share:
$3.71
$2.42
n/a
$-1.29
F U T U R E
@ current pm prices:
$2,264.78M
$1,424.27M
n/a
$-840.51M
Multiple @ current pm prices:
4.82
7.64
n/a
2.82
Growth @ current pm prices:
-6.21%
-9.53%
n/a
-0.03
@ future prices:
$5,700.00M
$5,700.00M
n/a
$0.00M
Multiple @ future prices:
1.91
1.91
n/a
-0.01
Growth @ future prices:
262.07%
262.07%
n/a
1.26
Defaults
Defaults
04/24/2026 Last Analysis Data
Current Data
Change
Item
Value
Value
Updated
Value
Spot Gold:
$4,709.85
$4,149.51
10/14/2026
$-560.34
Spot Silver:
$75.78
$58.88
10/14/2026
$-16.90
Gold:Silver Ratio:
62.15
70.47
10/14/2026
8.32
Spot Gold (Future):
$7,000.00
$7,000.00
$0.00
Spot Silver (Future):
$200.00
$200.00
$0.00
Gold:Silver Ratio (Future):
35.00
35.00
0.00
Gold Avg. Recovery Rate:
75.00%
75.00%
0.00%
Silver Avg. Recovery Rate:
75.00%
75.00%
0.00%
Plausibility of P & P:
100.00%
100.00%
0.00%
Plausibility of M & I:
80.00%
80.00%
0.00%
Plausibility of Inferred:
50.00%
50.00%
0.00%
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